War in Ukraine: Why it happened and what the working & middle classes can do to prevent and resolve such conflicts.
Greg Krasovsky
February 28, 2022
Eugene V. Debs Museum
@DebsMuseum
“And here let me emphasize the fact…
That the working class who fight all the battles, the
working class who makes the supreme sacrifices, the working class who freely
shed their blood and furnish the corpses, have never yet had a voice in either
declaring war or making peace.”
By intersectionelle
@intersectionelle
I read the above quote today on Facebook and
thought about Ukraine, Russia, America, Europe, the rest of the world
and its working & middle classes.
First, the working and middle class of Ukraine did
try to have their voice in declaring war or making peace by
1. Participating in the 2013-2014 EuroMaidan protests and counter-protests,
- some wanted a
more democratic, corruption-free Ukraine that would soon become a member of the
EU, enjoy American support an assistance and would distance itself from Putin’s
Russia,
- others were
against the EU association treaty and supported President Yanukovich as a protector
from Western Ukrainian nationalism and break in good relations (economic,
political, cultural and military) with Russia
2. Participating in Crimea’s March 2014 People’s referendum
for rejoining Russia after being taken out of it “administratively” by Soviet Communist
leader Khrushchev in 1954,
- which has led to US/EU sanctions against Crimea and Ukraine’s
inhuman blockade of Crimea, including depriving it of water by closing a key
fresh-water delivery canal.
3. Participating in the spring of 2014 people’s referendums
that took place in Eastern Ukraine’s Donetsk Cola Basin (Donbas) Donetsk and
Lugansk regions where local regular people (without any outside pressure) stood
in lines for hours under the threat of Ukrainian Military attack and voted for
governmental sovereignty of their regions from the new Pro-American government
in Kiev that that did not recognize as legitimate because it illegally (unconstitutionally)
ousted “their” President Yanukovich (who was from Russian-speaking Eastern
Ukraine)
- that led to the seven-year civil war and military standoff
which devastated Donbas in 2014 and 2015 (until the Minsk Peace Agreements were
signed), killed thousands of civilians, saw numerous war crimes and crimes
against humanity, primarily from the Ukrainian Military and “Volunteer” Paramilitary
units, destroyed most of Donbas’ industry and caused severe stress, poverty,
lack of medical care and misery (statistically leading to premature deaths) for
Donbas’ elderly who have been deprived of their hard-earned Ukrainian pensions.
4. Participating in current President Zelensky’s election,
who appeared as a reasonable young and independent candidate who would bring
peace to Ukraine by protecting the rights of Russian-speaking and ethnic
Ukrainians, reign in extreme Ukrainian Nationalists and Neo-Nazis and bring an
end to the civil war in Donbas with the DNR/LNR peoples’ republics that received
Russian humanitarian, economic, political and military support.
- that led to
unfulfilled electoral campaign promises, more anti-Russian laws, regulations and
persecution, higher levels of Ukrainian Nationalist activity, worsened
relations with Russia, refusal to end the civil war in Donbas based on written
agreements (Minsk Protocols) and the current show-down with Russian that has resulted
in today’s war in Ukraine with Russian troops.
Second, but why did the working class fail with its voice?
Here’s my analysis of what the working and middle classes are
up against (and not just in Ukraine), what they need to control their
governments and what happens (using Ukraine as an example) when the working and
middle classes are not able to control their governments and politicians who
may be motivated to start military conflicts in which the working and middle
classes will lose the most lives, wealth, health and a peaceful future for
their children and countries.
If the working & middle classes of America, Ukraine, and
Russia were
A. Fully informed of
- how financial-industrial groups control countries,
governments (executive, legislative and judicial branches), politicians and
political parties,
- the inner workings (the guts) of geopolitics,
- the pros & cons of globalism for regular folks,
- current "free-market" capitalism,
- the military-industrial complex and its immense control
over government spending and foreign policy, including through massive lobbying
and other forms of legalized bribery,
- government & corporate propaganda through main-stream
and social media,
- other age-proven means of controlling, subjugating, and
exploiting domestic and foreign populations, such as through
-- information
warfare,
-- cultural tools
(movies, TV, theater, comedy, music and even art), to advance certain
political, economic, military, cultural or social agendas,
-- applied religion
(incl when religious leaders and organizations serve the interests of those in
power),
-- economic
policies, including using labor laws and control of labor unions,
-- use of racial,
ethnic, linguistic, religious, and other differences (even gender and sexual
orientation) to either extol the virtues (superiority) of a particular key
group or to divide and conquer
-- massive infusions
of hard-to-trace money into domestic and foreign politics, including political
parties, politicians, and various non-profit organizations (with noble declared
"do-good" objectives but with actual ulterior motives and roles in
politics)
-- Effective
monitoring, infiltration, influence, exploitation and even control of
main-stream, alternative and social media by security and intelligence
services.
and
B. Able to use that knowledge and understanding for
competent control of their governments through
- voting at the voting booth as a well-educated and
observant electorate,
- voting with their
wallets as educated consumers who are willing to boycott sellers of goods or
services that don't support the voter's political, economic, or cultural views
& agendas,
- strict monitoring of political parties, their sponsors, politicians,
and government work & polices (of all three branches) with the aid of
independent, objective, experienced and competent news media outlets &
investigative journalists, whistle-blowers protected by law (de facto and de
jure) and various other government watchdogs and independent human rights
groups (not financed or influenced by corporate money and other political
interests),
THEN today, in 2022, we would NOT have a war in Ukraine, a
war whose start was set in motion in 2014 when Ukraine experienced U.S.
sponsored regime change (as publicly admitted by senior U.S. government
officials) which was followed by
- civil war, that could have been avoided if the Ukrainian
government led by President Poroshenko negotiated with the Donetsk Coal Basin
Separatist republics (DNR/LNR) over reasonable demands basic democratic civil
rights and limited local government autonomy,
- ethnic strife, xenophobia, extremist nationalism, ethnic
and religious intimidation and harassment, all directed against ethnic
Russians, Russian-speakers and members of the Ukrainian branch of the Russian
Orthodox Church,
- militarization which led to a country of only 30 million
people having (per Ukrainian assurances) the biggest army in Europe after
Russia,
- de facto suspension of basic civil liberties, like
-- freedom of the
press,
-- separation of
church and state,
-- freedom of
assembly, and
-- equal rights and
full protection under the law for all ethnic, religious, and linguistic groups,
for leading opponents of the new Ukrainian government
heavily dependent on (if not controlled by) the US & its NATO/EU allies,
the 8-year-old civil war with the LNR/DNR, and its Anti-Russian policies,
All of the above were encouraged, supported, organized and
financed by super-powers (first and foremost by the United States of America)
involved in a death-struggle over world-wide control of the most profitable
resources that our planet has today, including
- energy carriers
(oil & natural gas),
- agricultural
land & products,
- fresh water
supplies,
- metals &
minerals, lumber etc.
-
construction-grade sand (for making cement & concrete),
- key land and sea
routes for transport of products and energy carriers between Europe and Asia,
and
- well-educated
and disciplined human capital (human resources, i.e., people) who are willing
to work hard, travel and relocate for significantly less than their
counterparts in world's leading economies.
How?
Because, the working & middle classes of the U.S., its
NATO allies, the EU and even in Ukraine and Russia did not understand and was
not aware sufficiently of what was going on and where it was heading (military
intervention or invasion, depending on your point of view, as some would say a
mere difference in semantics, not in its prosecution on the ground).
Why?
Because the working and middle classes are too busy trying
to make ends meet to have sufficient time to do their own investigative research
and instead primarily rely on information they receive from their domestic
mainstream and social media (both public and corporate owned), who, as
described above, have their own role to play in
- keeping the target populations docile, loyal (to their
country's political establishment), and
- subservient to the interests of the dominant
financial-industrial groups that compose the establishment and control their
governments (not just through politicians but through key government officials,
managers, and employees in all three branches of government recently labeled as
the "Deep State").
With what results?
1. An eight (8) year old civil war in Eastern Ukraine which
1.1. turned the
civilian populations of the Donetsk & Lugansk People's Republics into impoverished
& blockaded residents who lived under the constant threat of Ukrainian Army
& Volunteer Territorial Battalions (i.e. Nationalist Paramilitaries) just
like the residents of the Gaza Strip in Israel/Palestine.
1.2. Decisively
showed by the end of 2021 that the Ukrainian Government (both under Presidents
of Poroshenko and Zelensky) were NOT interested in ending this civil war with
LNR/DNR either through
(a) direct
negotiations with DNR/LNR (they refused to negotiate with "Pro-Russian
terrorists and puppets" although these local governments had the
overwhelming support and trust of the local populations, and/or
(b) through the
Minsk Agreements and Steinmeier formula (agreed upon in writing with France, Germany,
and Russia as guarantors), which called for
(i) The Ukrainian
Parliament passing a law giving the DNR/LNR territories special status (decentralization
or limited local autonomy), including the right to use Russian as a second
government language,
(ii) The Ukrainian
Government amnestying those involved in LNR/DNR,
(iii) Permitting
local elections for local officials in LNR/DNR
(iv) Regaining full
control of the Ukrainian-Russian border under the watch of the Ukrainian Border
Guard Service.
1.3. Saw numerous
war crimes, crimes against humanity and violations of human rights (detentions,
beatings, torture, extrajudicial prosecutions, and persecution of the
opposition) both by the government military and security forces as well as
nationalist groups (even including Neo-Nazis) and their paramilitary
organizations,
1.4. Destroyed the
economy of the Donetsk Coal Basin and damaged the entire Ukrainian's economy,
1.5. Facilitated low
birth rates and massive migration abroad, especially among the brightest,
highly qualified and educated Ukrainians,
2. A generation of Ukrainians taught to hate Russia (as the
"Aggressor" who supported the LNR/DNR politically, economically and
militarily), Russians as a people, the Russian language and even Russian culture.
Who taught them? Ukrainian state and corporate owned
main-stream media through what you would call propaganda.
A generation that was not even allowed access to LNR/DNR
(unless you have family there and obtain a special permit) to see for
themselves what their government's military and state-approved nationalist
paramilitaries were doing to the local populations.
3. A Developing Former-Soviet Country with a population of
only 30-35 million that had, if Ukrainian & Russian media are telling the
truth, around 3,000 accredited U.S. diplomatic personnel, where, every major government policy, political,
economic, military, security & intelligence, financial and legislative
decision was made by the Ukrainian government in coordination with the U.S.
government (via the local U.S. embassy, State Department, Department of
Defense, CIA and the rest of the U.S. Intelligence Community).
- Does that sound like a sovereign and independent country to
you? Or does it look more like a colony or a vassal state?
4. A Country where the U.S. Department of Defense built and
operated thirteen (13, what a lucky number!) biological research labs for
studying pathogens probably too dangerous to test in the United States for
liability & political reasons were something to break-out!
Can you say "Gain of Function Research grant to /
contract with a certain Chinese Institute of Virology" to study how
viruses can be made more lethal (strictly for research purposes, of course!) in
facilities less than 100 miles away from Russia?
5. A country where WWII Nazi collaborators and veterans of
German Nazi Waffen SS units (who actively participated in the genocide of
Ukrainians and Poles in Ukraine during Nazi occupation) have been made national
heroes and monuments are being put up for them even during the reign of a
Ukrainian Jewish President (who is irrefutably afraid to stand up to Ukrainian
Radical Nationalists and Neo-Nazis because the U.S. and its NATO allies
consider them the staunchest local anti-Russian foot soldiers)
6. A country that has received billions in military aid from
the U.S. and its NATO allies all for the purpose of "countering Russian
Aggression" (i.e. for taking Crimea back in 2014 based on a popular
referendum and for supporting the DNR/LNR separatist republics) before Russia
even thought of intervening militarily in Ukraine.
7. A Country where senior citizens can barely afford to (a)
pay their utility bills (if at all), (b) buy meats/poultry on a regular basis,
(c) buy over the counter and prescription drugs, (d) buy new clothes and travel
even domestically (forget about abroad).
8. A country where local manufacturing, especially heavy
industry (built during those evil Soviet days) is disappearing because it can't
compete with low-cost centers in Asia and has lost Russia as one of its primary
customers (due to Ukrainian Sanctions against Russia),
9. A Country that neighbors Russia and shares a common
history, heritage and ethnic make-up whose leadership (with US
support/Instructions) decided that it would a good idea to join NATO (a
military block whose primary adversary since the fall of the Soviet Union in
1991 is Russia).
10. A Country whose young former comedian/actor president
this past winter and fall thought it would be a good idea to counter Russian
demands -- that Ukraine abandon its desire to join NATO and have any NATO
bases, troops or weapons systems on its soil that would present a military
threat to Russia -- with public suggestions that Ukraine should consider
obtaining nuclear weapons and whose military commanders proposed that American
THAAD missile defense systems be deployed around major Ukrainian cities.
Now that we've done a ten count of results, here are the
ultimate knock-out results that the Ukrainian, American, European, and Russian
working and middle classes should have anticipated and tried to avoid at all
costs (as human beings, citizens, taxpayers, voters, consumers, and even
rational members of their countries' armed forces):
11. Russia's political and government leadership, led by
President Putin in all likelihood decided that all the above (including results 1 to 10), based on their knowledge and understanding of history and
experience in international politics, military affairs, and the intelligence
services, was sufficient to confirm their professional suspicions that
- Ukraine is being used by the U.S. and its NATO/EU allies
as an anti-Russian project who job it is not just to "deter Russian Aggression",
but to facilitate regime change in Russia (through political, military,
economic and cultural pressure) in order to welcome (i.e. install) a
Pro-American/NATO/EU Russian government which would accept US/NATO/EU
influence, investments, laws and eventually economic, political and military
control -- basically, what they perceive as eventual loss of Russian sovereignty.
- Ukraine (as managed by the US) is not interested in
resolving the civil war in Eastern Ukraine with LNR/DNR through the Minsk
Agreements (Protocol) and Steinmeier formula because it is not interested in
getting (re-admitting into Ukraine's political life) an amnestied Pro-Russian Donbas electorate with autonomy,
decentralization and native Russian language, culture and religion.
- Ukraine will not abandon its aspirations to join NATO and
have NATO bases, troops and weapons systems on its soil and given the collapse
of negotiations with the U.S. over Ukraine's NATO membership, probably imminent
NATO membership for Ukraine with all ensuing military and geopolitical
ramifications.
- The U.S. and its NATO allies will create military bases
(even without or before NATO membership), station its troops and deploy dual
use (offensive/defensive) missile systems and could even surreptitiously deploy tactical
nuclear weapons on Ukrainian soil.
- Ukraine (i.e. with US approval or under US
orders/instructions/advice) is likely to try with US/NATO military support
(weapons, military "advisors", covert foreign special forces (US, UK,
Canada, etc.) a military takeover of
-- DNR/LNR which
would make Russia come to the military aid of LNR/DNR, with all ensuing
military, economic and political ramifications.
-- Crimea (now by
Russia as its historical and legal territory), once Ukraine entered NATO, which
could provoke a Russia-NATO conflict (a conflict between states with nuclear
weapons, including bombs, both short/medium range tactical and intercontinental
missiles and even artillery shells).
and made the political conclusion (that super-powers and
even regional powers make throughout history) that Ukraine, in its present
militarized state, under its current leadership and U.S. control and with all the above ingredients CONSTITUTES A
CLEAR AND PRESENT DANGER
- To Russian-speaking populations and Russian citizens of the
Eastern Ukrainian Pro-Russian LNR/DNR peoples' republics (accusations of genocide), and, more
importantly,
- To Russia's own military, political and economic security -- i.e. national security --
AND MUST BE NEUTRALIZED.
Given the recent Anti-Russian posturing (which was transmitted and
amplified by Western mainstream and social media) of political leaders of
Ukraine (President, Ministers of Foreign Affairs and Defense), America
(President, State Department, Department of Defense, Intelligence Community,
and members of Congress), NATO Leadership and other NATO member states, Russia's leadership likely made a decision that the clear and present danger emanating from Ukraine must be NEUTRALIZED IMMEDIATELY.
12. Once Russia's political leadership finally made such an ominous government finding -- that today’s Ukraine constitutes a clear and present
danger to Russia's national security (military, political, economic, and cultural),
Russia acted immediately without warning!
Russia recognized LNR/DNR as sovereign states so that it
could come to their military aid without "formally" challenging
Ukraine's remaining territorial integrity.
Russia recognized these People’s republics based on the
referendums that took place in May of 2014 where at least 90% of the residents
in these Republics voted from “governmental sovereignty” from the new Ukrainian
government that was installed with U.S. assistance at the end of February 2014
following the overthrow and forced ouster of lawfully elected Ukrainian
President Viktor Yanukovich.
Ukraine and its Western allies consider this a clear
violation of international law and a violation of the international principle
of a country’s territorial integrity, which in their view trumps the principle
of a people’s right to self-determination, especially during or after regime
change or civil war.
13. As a result of its finding Russia launched on
Ukrainian soil what it called a military operation to defend the people of DNR/LNR
13.1. "Demilitarize"
Ukraine,
- to Defend the DNR/LNR people’s republics from Ukrainian
aggression, namely continued shelling of civilian areas, blockades of trade and
even civilian infrastructure
- to prevent Ukraine from becoming a NATO member, being under
the control of any NATO member states (first and foremost the USA) hosting any
NATO bases, troops or weapons on its soil and presenting a military threat to
Russia by being used as pretense or an alleged staging ground (beachhead) for military
operations against Russia.
13.2. "De-Nazify"
Ukraine,
- Outlaw all expressions of Nazi and Neo-Nazi political
views, symbols, organizations and glorification/amnesty/pardons/benefits of WWII
Ukrainian Nazi collaborators and war criminals, including those who served in
the Waffen SS Division Galicia, Nazi Local Police Units and the Ukrainian
Insurgent Army (UPA) that was created out these units toward the end of WWII.
- This includes various Extreme Ukrainian Nationalist and
Neo-Nazi groups that have sprouted up, grown and enjoyed state protection,
funding and even government status (as paramilitary, national guard or auxiliary
police units), like Azov Battalion, Right Sector and other groups.
13.3. "Democratize" Ukraine.
- Restore Ukraine’s pre-2014 Sovereignty and remove Ukraine
from America’s political control, colonization, and alleged use as a staging ground
(beachhead) for regime change in Russia or military operations against Russia.
- Remove undemocratic Ukrainian laws (instituted under US
approval since 2014) that violate
-- the civil and human rights of ethnics
Russians and Russian Eastern Orthodox worshipers,
-- the civil and
human rights of Russian-speakers (this includes making Russian an official second
state language of Ukraine, which reflects its historical and current use in
Ukraine, especially in Russian regions that were added to Ukraine by Lenin’s
Bolsheviks in 1922)
-- freedom of speech,
including re-opening and protecting from persecution Pro-Russian and
Russian-language news media,
-- freedom of
assembly and political expression, which includes re-opening and protecting
from persecution any Pro-Russian political parties, including the communist
party,
-- amnesty and protection
from prosecution and persecution of Ukrainians and Russians who were arrested, incarcerated,
convicted or wanted for Pro-Russian or Pro-separatist views (i.e. support of DNR/LNR).
The United States and its allies, including Ukraine, say
that these three objectives are false pretenses or not needed and call the Russian
intervention (Operation Z) an Russian invasion to occupy Ukraine and turn into
a vassal Russian state.
Russia and its allies call it a justified military intervention
that, when completed, will allow Ukrainians to make a free democratic decision
on how they want to live without endangering Russia’s national security.
This may include the “completion” of Ukraine’s “de-communization”,
as Russian President Putin spoke about (with dry humor, cynicism, or sarcasm) during
his speech recognizing the DNR/LNR people’s republics, including, possibly, if
any of the Ukrainian regions that were incorporated into Ukraine by the
Soviets/Bolshevik leaders like Lenin, Stalin and Khrushchev, without any say
from their residents, want to remain in Ukraine or rejoin the countries from
which they were taken by force -- Hungary (1945), Poland (1939), Romania (1945),
Russia (1922), and Slovakia (1945).
Ukraine and its allies clearly view any such opportunity for
self-determination by its people as a violation of its territorial integrity and
international law.
So what happens if and when Russian Operation Z is completed?
Scenario A:
If, at the end of the Russian 3-D Operation Z (Demilitarize, De-Nazify
and Democratize), Ukraine is, as the West sees, “loses to Russia and is conquered/occupied by it”, then
- Ukraine will not be able to join NATO and may not be able to
join the EU -- unless NATO or the EU somehow manage to grant Ukraine as a last
resort emergency/provisional NATO / EU membership or partnership in an effort
to protect it – through sanctions and direct military assistance -- from
imminent military loss to Russian forces and collapse of its present Pro-US/NATO/EU
government.
- EU states faces serious challenges not only from the massive waves of Ukrainian
refugees, but also from the need to lift sanctions from Russia in exchange for
Russian natural gas deliveries & oil deliveries (through Ukraine, Belarus,
and North Stream 1 & 2 gas pipelines) as well as the expected public testimony
at trials of Ukrainian war criminals for crimes committed in Ukraine since 2014
in the Donetsk Coal Basin (Donbas) civil ware as well as other Ukrainian cities, including
the May 2, 2014 Odessa House Labor Unions Arson and Massacre.
- But we could see a neutral, demilitarized, de-Nazified and independent
(as much as politically and militarily possible from both US/NATO/EU and Russia) and
democratic country if the declared Russian intentions are true and realized
fairly and effectively
Scenario B:
If a Pro-US/NATO/EU Ukraine is “saved” from Russia’s
completion of Operation Z through a negotiated settlement with Russia under the
whip of severe military losses, US & EU sanctions, NATO assistance and/or unprecedented
emergency EU/NATO membership, then we’re likely to see either
Option 1:
A Ukraine
- that could become a EU member (strictly for political
reasons even if it cannot satisfy the usual EU economic, financial, legal and political prerequisites for candidates)
- constrained with pledges not to join NATO and/or have NATO
bases, troops or weapons on its soil
- may have to give up some or all of its current anti-democratic
and Anti-Russian laws and policies.
And the above may satisfy Russia, provided current
anti-Russian sanctions are lifted and other reasonable demands are met,
including written guarantees of Ukraine’s status that can be effectively and
objectively enforced by an international arrangement with political, economic,
and military enforcement power (which the UN lacks in current form) if Ukraine
and its current Western sponsors violate their peace treaty obligations.
Option 2:
A Ukraine that remains a military, political, economic,
and cultural threat to Russia with all ensuing ramifications down the road –
which is basically delayed war and more misery for Ukraine, neighboring
countries (like Russia and Byelorussia) with potential world-wide repercussions
from a military conflict that could suck in NATO and other countries.
So, what’s the solution – both short and long-term – for the
working and middle classes to prevent and end conflicts like the current "limited military operation" (war) in Ukraine?
As I’ve written before, there’s a fairly straight forward five-point
plan:
1. Get informed from independent & alternative media
sources on domestic & foreign policy, geopolitics, globalism and various “New
World” agendas (not just regarding government and order, but also about population
control [physical and psychological] and environmental policies)
2. Talk to the people on the ground on both sides of any
conflict (people’s diplomacy),
3. Understand how big government, political parties, politicians,
and government officials (elected and appointed) work in the real world together
with (report to or are controlled / owned by) big money, big business and the
military-industrial complex (they don’t teach you this in school!),
4. Understand how to identify and resist state and private
sector propaganda (misinformation / disinformation, including warmongering and
demonization of political, military, economic, cultural, ethnic, and religious
opponents),
5. Control your government (and big money/business that tries
to control it as well) by being an alert, if not constantly suspicious, well informed,
and active citizen, taxpayer, voter and consumer who will
- monitor his government policies and officials (elected and
appointed) at ALL times,
- make his political will and positions known during pre-electoral
campaigns and at the voting booth (regularly),
- vote with his wallet as a consumer (this includes news!)
to let big business know his political preferences (when you know who the
manufacturers of the products you buy support in politics and government)
- make his voice heard at his politicians and public officials’
offices (through written inquiries and complaints that demand answers), and
- make his voice heard on the street through peaceful & lawful
protests with like-minded folks.
So, if we, as the working and middle classes of the world can
start doing all of the above to control our governments, then we can prevent what
happened in Ukraine today in other places (trust me, there will be other places
soon enough!) – a tragedy in the making since 2014 (some would say since the
fall of the Soviet Union in 1991) as a result of foreign intervention in its domestic
affairs for certain geopolitical purposes under the noble guise of spreading
democracy and freedom worldwide.
And maybe we can still help the people of Ukraine, including the working and middle class, get the
best possible outcome in today’s situation.
Current humanitarian considerations:
Although at this point, based on what I have seen in Donbas in 2014, namely the destruction of civilian infrastructure, residential buildings (housing) and suffering for the local population, given the overwhelming advantage of Russian military power, its probably a good idea for the Ukrainian government (that still functions) to order its remaining armed forces and paramilitaries to lay down their arms and surrender now -- even if just for purely humanitarian reasons (to protect their own civilian populations, especially those stuck in surrounded cities and running out of food, water, medical care, heating and electricity).
Measures should also be implemented ASAP to evacuate civilians out of areas, including dangerous towns, and cities -- if necessary with Russian cooperation.
And then let negotiations start (if appropriate and beneficial for the Ukrainian people, with US/NATO/EU participation) over the political, economic and military future of Ukraine while the civilian populations recovers and restore their lives in safety from this "limited military Operation Z" (limited/local war to regular people).
Or we can stand buy and watch Ukrainian military and paramilitaries take up defensive positions and put armor and artillery in residential neighborhoods using apartment buildings and houses as shields, turning their non-evacuated inhabitants into hostages and evacuated residents into temporarily if not permanently homeless if their housing is damaged beyond repair or destroyed in combat,
And then surrender anyway when you start to run out of ammunition, fuel, weapons, and even worse, able fighting men.
Hey, I am all for fighting to the last man when you're facing a foreign enemy that's coming to conquers your country, take your women and children, take all your wealth, make you a slave or eventually exterminate your kind or expel your from your lands onto reservations.
BTW, the funny thing is that many Western Ukrainians naively welcomed Nazi troops thinking that they would get a special place in the Third Reich as the Nazi-friendly and subservient Slavs who would help the Nazis conquer other Slavs (Russians) and those evil Jews. Little did the know (including the Ukrainian Nazi collaborators and Nazi Waffen SS and Police Battalion members) that the Aryan Nazis needed Ukraine for their Lebensraum and had similar eventual plans for all Slavs (the subhuman "untermenschen") - enslavement, expulsion to Siberia or extermination.
This isn't that kind of war. This is closer to a civil war. Russians aren't Nazis and don't harbor any ill-will toward Ukrainian people.
This isn't America's & its NATO allies invasions of Afghanistan, Iraq or even its limited operations in Libya and Syria.
Even in those countries, every time local patriots fought to the last drop in residential areas against whom they perceived as invaders / crusaders / infidels, they ended up destroying the neighborhoods and towns they used for refuge to the ire of local civilian populations who don't really care enough at the end about the politicians who govern them to risk losing their homes, neighborhoods, livelihoods and lives.
This
is perhaps more similar to America's invasions of Grenada and Panama back in
the 1980s, where only political goals (regime change) were pursued
without any any other nefarious plans for the local populations or their countries.
So when you hear (a) politicians (presidents, ministers, governors and even mayors) or generals/admirals who probably have hundreds of thousands (if not millions) of dollars or euros stashed away abroad along with safe real estate tell you to fight to the last man, bullet and house so that they don't lose their their power -- and risk incarceration & confiscation of their property for corruption, abuse of office, war crimes & crimes against humanity -- don't listen to them without skepticism or cynicism .
If you are NOT fighting the stereotypical burning & raping Huns, Goths, Tartar-Mongol Hordes, genocidal Nazis, the Imperial Japanese in China during WWII, ISIS Al Qaeda, or Pol Pot's Khmer Rouge, AND your government leaders were irresponsible or reckless in provoking a war with your neighbor and they didn't make timely provisions for your safe evacuation, then that's on them.
Politicians and political regimes come and go (especially ones
dependent on foreign largess), but you can't bring back dead soldiers
and civilians.
And sometimes it takes decades to rebuilt destroyed infrastructure with limited money that should be spent on schools, education, hospitals, pensions and etc.
Today the chickens of civil war have come home to roost to
Kharkov, Kiev and other large Ukrainian cities defended by patriotic
soldiers some of whom have been hardened for the last eight years by (a) fighting the Pro-Russian DNR/LNR separatist insurgents in Eastern Ukraine and (b) constant and all-present anti-Russian propaganda and believe that it's worth it to take cover inside cities and fight to the end for their country's independence from Russia while their cities are destroyed.
This is why residents of Donbas learned back in 2014 and afterwards to kick out troops and armor out of their residential neighborhoods and asked armed soldiers to surrender voluntarily to avoid needless bloodshed and destruction of property.
Hopefully, the Ukrainian people, the working and middle class, including their members in the Ukrainian armed forces and paramilitary organizations will make the right decision not just to save their country but also innocent Ukrainian lives and property.
In the meantime, as a Ukrainian and a Russian (partially on
my mother’s side), it breaks my heart to see innocent loss of life in Ukraine
in a conflict that could and should have been avoided – if the working and
middle classes of America, Russia, Ukraine and the EU understood and paid
attention to what has been happening in Ukraine since 1991 and were able to
take an active part and governing role in developing, monitoring and controlling
their governments’ foreign political, economic and military policies that have
led to this preventable war.
But what do you think? What should the working and middle classes do in your opinion to help prevent & end civil and foreign wars?
As always, please don't forget to share this article for thought & discussion.
* Disclaimer: The above is a cold-blooded applied political
science analysis of what has happened in Ukraine and how countries, like
Russia, the United States and other current & former super & regional
powers (e.g. China, Great Britain, Germany, Austro-Hungarian Empire, Ottoman
Empire, Napoleonic France, Holy Roman Empire, Roman Empire, and etc.) usually act when
faced with local threats to their security from smaller neighbors who are under
the influence or control of their arch-enemies.
Sadly, this is what they call realpolitik ("a system of politics or principles based on practical rather than moral or ideological considerations").
No more and no less.
